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	<title>Harry Clarke &#187; Liberal Party</title>
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	<link>http://www.harryrclarke.com</link>
	<description>On economics, politics &#38; other things</description>
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		<title>Malcolm Turnbull&#8217;s defense of the CPRS better than Rudd&#8217;s</title>
		<link>http://www.harryrclarke.com/2010/02/08/malcolm-turnbulls-defense-of-the-cprs-better-than-rudds/</link>
		<comments>http://www.harryrclarke.com/2010/02/08/malcolm-turnbulls-defense-of-the-cprs-better-than-rudds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Feb 2010 12:52:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>hc</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberal Party]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.harryrclarke.com/?p=2745</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I regret that Malcolm Turnbull was replaced by Tony Abbott as Liberal Party leader. To me it is the replacement of a decent hard-thinking politician by a populist clown who stands for nothing of consequence. Turnbull has stated he will cross the floor to vote for the Government&#8217;s CPRS. It is hard to see he [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I regret that Malcolm Turnbull was replaced by Tony Abbott as Liberal Party leader. To me it is the replacement of a decent hard-thinking politician by a populist clown who stands for nothing of consequence. Turnbull has stated <a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/thestump/2010/02/08/turnbull-takes-aim-at-abbotts-climate-plan-and-doesnt-miss/?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+CrikeyBlogs%2Fthestump+%28The+Stump%29&amp;utm_content=Google+Reader">he will cross the floor to vote for the Government&#8217;s CPRS</a>. It is hard to see he could do much else given his stated views and, indeed, those of the Liberal Party itself, going into the 2007 elections.  In doing so Turnbull provided a more cogent analysis of the reasons for supporting a CPRS than Rudd ever could.</p>
<p>Here is a<a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/why-i-support-the-ets-proposal/story-e6frg6zo-1225828034340"> transcript of Turnbull&#8217;s speech </a>- perhaps his best.</p>
<p>Moves by others in the Liberal Party to support Turnbull either in the House of Representatives or- much less likely - the Senate might suggest a rebuild of one of Australia&#8217;s important political parties.  Currently it is<a href="http://johnquiggin.com/index.php/archives/2010/02/08/send-in-the-clowns/"> a party of clowns</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Update:</strong> Samuel J probably the worst of the right-wing ignorami at Catallaxy <a href="http://catallaxyfiles.com/2010/02/08/malcolm-bligh-turnbull-australias-don-quixote/">gets it horribly wrong </a>by suggesting that an individual nation cannot implement a CPRS so that Turnbull is a traitor to liberalism and small government! What a bad joke!</p>
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		<slash:comments>7</slash:comments>
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		<title>The mad monk&#8217;s success story?</title>
		<link>http://www.harryrclarke.com/2009/12/06/the-mad-monks-success-story/</link>
		<comments>http://www.harryrclarke.com/2009/12/06/the-mad-monks-success-story/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Dec 2009 15:07:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>hc</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberal Party]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.harryrclarke.com/?p=2598</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The byelections in Bradfield and Higgins were interesting as they provided a test of what might happen to the Liberal Party as a consequence of Tony Abbott taking the leadership.  Some former Liberal voters might have been expected to desert the Party as a consequence of its stance on climate change, some might actually be [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The byelections in Bradfield and Higgins were interesting as they provided a test of what might happen to the Liberal Party as a consequence of Tony Abbott taking the leadership.  Some former Liberal voters might have been expected to desert the Party as a consequence of its stance on climate change, some might actually be attracted by the policy and presumably a few (as usual) might move towards the party as a result of the usual byelection protest vote against the Government.  <a href="http://www.theage.com.au/national/first-round-to-abbott-as-libs-win-20091205-kc3e.html">Tony Abbott seems to have done well overall with the Liberal Party vote holding strong</a>. <span id="more-2598"></span></p>
<p>Abbott is an attractive candidate and may prove electorally much more successful than his opponents believe.  His eventual stance on climate change may gravitate towartds the Government&#8217;s. He is now distancing himself from his earlier denialist remarks, argues that policies are necessary to deal with climate change and, <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/opinion/market-will-determine-the-cheapest-way-of-cutting-emissions/story-e6frg9p6-1225807116368">after embracing a central-planning supply-driven approach</a>, now seems to even see the <strong>eventual</strong> need for pricing carbon after the US decides on how it well price its emissions.  Of course whatever influence  Australia might have exerted in fostering a decent deal in Copenhagen is now gone.</p>
<p>The obvious point is that it is hard to know what Abbott stands for despite his pretense at being a &#8216;conviction&#8217; politician.  He has endorsed, then rejected and now half endorsed an ETS and wants to &#8220;pick winners&#8221; in the energy field in the best socialist tradition in order to deliver a path to controlling carbon emissions that conceals all cost inefficiencies in bad political choices &#8211; in bad technological choices and in further delays to dealing effectively with emissions. It might work and be electorally successful. I guess he would then be regarded as a successful leader and a canny politician.</p>
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		<slash:comments>8</slash:comments>
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		<title>CPRS defeated &#8211; where to now?</title>
		<link>http://www.harryrclarke.com/2009/12/02/cprs-defeated-where-to-now/</link>
		<comments>http://www.harryrclarke.com/2009/12/02/cprs-defeated-where-to-now/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Dec 2009 10:12:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>hc</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Labor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberal Party]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.harryrclarke.com/?p=2589</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The CPRS bill has been defeated through the joint actions of the Coalition and the Greens in the Senate. Labor will present the bill for a third time rather than seek a double dissolution of both houses of Parliament. My preference would have been to get this highly imperfect bill passed but it has been [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The CPRS bill has been defeated through the joint actions of the Coalition and the Greens in the Senate. Labor will present the bill for a third time rather than seek a double dissolution of both houses of Parliament. My preference would have been to get this highly imperfect bill passed but it has been defeated. It is now difficult to see how, without totally destroying its intent, a reformulated bill will ever get through. Putting the issue before the people is the best way out of this mess. Although it won&#8217;t be easy, Labor should negotiate a tougher bill which forgoes at least some of the outrageously counterproductive concessions to the electricity sector and which leaves open the possibility of charging for emissions in the agricultural sector &#8211; hopefully this should attract the 5 Green votes in the Senate. If this attempt is rejected and fails then a double dissolution should be sought.<span id="more-2589"></span></p>
<p>The Coalition are pushing the ‘big tax’ line – of course most of the relative price changes on consumers were fully compensated by income tax cuts before the Coalition forced its amendments through. It was these amendments which forced bigger emissions handouts at the expense of consumers. The Coalition is engaging in deceit on this issue and, by forcing alternatives to charging for emissions, increasing the cost to the community of meeting emission targets.</p>
<p>What should the Coalition do? I was dismayed to find that only two Liberal Senators crossed the floor to vote with the Government although sincere thanks to them. I have no idea how the Coalition can move on from here. Abbott now says that <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/the-tony-abbott-scare-campaign-begins/story-e6frg6n6-1225805925386">climate change is real </a>(!) and must be addressed but, if he opposes the current CPRS on the grounds it is a ‘tax’, there is no way he will sensibly endorse a <em>pure</em> carbon tax. He has gossiped a bit over recent days about nuclear power but this seems to be daydreaming – no power station has been built in the US for decades. Anyway, <strong>is Abbott suggesting a supply-driven response to climate change along central planning lines?</strong> That doesn’t sound workable and will inevitably be expensive if carbon isn’t in some way priced. The policy vacuum at the centre of the Liberal Party debacle has not been resolved and I assume further major changes will occur. Literally nothing has been resolved by the replacement of Turnbull by Abbott – at least in terms of climate change policy.</p>
<p><strong>Update:</strong> Comments by <a href="http://economics.com.au/?p=4766">Joshua Gans on the Liberal&#8217;s anti-market policies </a>and from this in <em><a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/tony-abbotts-tax-free-carbon-plan/story-e6frg6n6-1225806333127">The Australian</a></em>.  The Liberal logic seems so bizarre that you wonder whether Paul Kelly is right and <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/liberal-party-making-policy-on-the-run/story-e6frg74x-1225806340685">Abbott is just making-policy-up as he goes along</a>.  Even the <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/business-begs-abbott-to-rethink-opposition-to-market-based-emissions-trading-scheme/story-e6frg6nf-1225806342678"><em>Business Council of Australia</em> </a>thinks the Abbott scheme is foolish. Bizarre indeed, but maybe Abbott didn&#8217;t expect to become leader and was sprouting opposition to the CPRS without thinking about alternatives &#8211; or because he didn&#8217;t believe in climate change &#8211; and therefore did not see the need for alternatives. He has presumably now come back to earth.</p>
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		<slash:comments>24</slash:comments>
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		<title>Malcolm Turnbull deserves praise</title>
		<link>http://www.harryrclarke.com/2009/11/25/malcolm-turnbull-deserves-praise/</link>
		<comments>http://www.harryrclarke.com/2009/11/25/malcolm-turnbull-deserves-praise/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Nov 2009 01:55:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>hc</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Australian politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberal Party]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.harryrclarke.com/?p=2557</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Parliamentary Liberal Party is an illiberal, shambles at present and the National Party is worse &#8211; the performance of Andrew Robb, Nick Minchin, Tony Abbott and the &#8216;mouth frothers&#8217; Barnaby Joyce and Wilson Tuckey has left this scribe&#8217;s perception of these political parties in tatters . </p> <p>The one positive that comes out of conservative politics in Australia [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Parliamentary Liberal Party is an illiberal, shambles at present and the National Party is worse &#8211; the performance of Andrew Robb, Nick Minchin, Tony Abbott and the &#8216;mouth frothers&#8217; Barnaby Joyce and Wilson Tuckey has left this scribe&#8217;s perception of these political parties in tatters . </p>
<p>The one positive that comes out of conservative politics in Australia at present is Malcolm Turnbull.  I appreciated this accurate, balanced commentary from the <em><a href="http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/editorial/turnbull-deserves-praise-for-his-climate-change-stand-20091124-jhav.html">SMH</a></em>. </p>
<p>In 15 minutes the Party will vote on Turnbull&#8217;s leadership and some say that even if he retains the leadership that he does so temporarily since his support base has crumpled. I&#8217;ll update as the day goes on.</p>
<p><strong>Update 1</strong>: <strong>1.23pm:</strong> No spill. Motion lost 48-35 in a secret ballot. Only 42% of the Liberal Party seek the mass suicide option.  I&#8217;ll outsource to <em><a href="http://www.thepunch.com.au/articles/live-blog-liberals-in-crisis/">The Punch</a></em>, further updates.</p>
<p><strong>Update 2:</strong>  Abbott resigns from the front bench after he and Minchin <a href="http://www.news.com.au/story/0,27574,26404617-29277,00.html">cannot persuade Turnbull to force a delay in considering the CPRS until after Copenhagen</a>.  This looks serious for Turnbull and I doubt he can survive.  The impact of the denialists in the Coalition has been &#8211; at best &#8211; to force an expensive, unnecessarily expensive and ineffective CPRS on Australia. At worse &#8211; for the Liberal Party &#8211; no CPRS will now be passed  and Australia will be identified as an immoral, untrustworthy nation in the midst of the global climate change crisis.    A double dissolution of parliament seems likely in which case the Coalition will suffer further permanent electoral damage.</p>
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		<slash:comments>14</slash:comments>
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